Pirates of the Caribbean 2 Opening Weekend

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Under 112 Million -120 @ BetWWTS

I don't see this movie breaking the all-time opening weekend record by Spider-Man set at 114 million.
 

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oh i do....

trust me on this...ive been following this movie for months now...ive read more on this movie than humanly possible...the smart was laid when the books were sleeping behind the wheel and the OW was 85 and 90million...ive got it at those #'s and 105.5 and 106 and 110 and i just bet it over at 112...i believe a 105 weekend i formality at this point, what remains is where the line goes the rest of the night, what wsex opens it at...if it breaks Spidey and by how much...i believe spider is toast i think this one "can" hit 120million

i think its reasonable to expect a 40million tally for fri (thats what X3 did)...take a 2.8multiplier and lands right on your 112million...i think 40million would be low for friday...i think it can hit 45million for friday a 45 for friday at 2.6 would land it at 117million and a 2.6 multiplier would be LOW...

this movie is gonna be a monster....you may win your bet at 112 b/c the cats out of the bag now...but for the casual "im just gonna bet it tonight for shits n giggles" i still recommend a play on the over...its opening in 4133 theatres the 3rd highest count ever....the midnights showings are looking great....more and more sellouts reporting and more theatres adding my screenings at midnight...the spiderman record is misleading, it shoulda been blown away by several movies but wasnt because they opened early...this movie is taking dead aim at the 3day record...here's some stuff ive pulled off other boards from other people....

Today's PIRT2 midnights at the Usual Megaplex
As of 1PM PST...

973

Already that beats BATMAN BEGINS and SUPERMAN RETURNS final pre-open numbers. Capacity currently is about 2000.
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All six midnight shows have sold out at the AMC Pleasure Island 24 (thankfully I bought my tickets yesterday). The 1:15,
8:15, and 8:45 shows for Friday are already sold out as well.
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12:01, 12:02, and 12:03 are all now sold out.

Better than X3, easily. Approaching SW/LOTR, but those had four midnight sellouts, I believe.

I'm sure Pirates could pull that here, though. It's a print issue.
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Well, here in the Denver area Highlands Ranch 24 has two blacked out of four total (it was 1 earlier today), Westminster 24 has 1 (of 3) and Flatirons has one (of 2). Colorado Mill has another, maybe two in fact since they always have two at 11:59. Only 12:10 is available now. That didn't happen with X3. In fact, it only had 2 11:59 PM showings. I guess I'll see it at 12:10 given that I have not bought them yet. ____________________________________________________________

My theater has added two more midnight shows, neither of them are sold out yet but I'm sure one or even both will by tonight
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more coming in....

South Orange County (CA) midnight sellout watch 5 added showings in the past 3 hours to bring the total to 19.

The number of sold out shows has moved from 11 out of 14 to 16 out of 19. Expect the remainder of the 19 to be sold out within approximately 2 hours.

For comparison purposes, Superman sold out 1 show on Tuesday 10pm (IMAX).
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I'll play...3 midnight sellouts here have led to 2 additional screenings. There are now 6 of them between 11:59 and 1 AM at the Regal Pinnacle, the showcase theater in the corporation's hometown. The original plan was only 4
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Pirt 2, Sprmn Advance Sales. Thursday: 1112
Friday: 592
Saturday: 84
Sunday: 28

For others...
Sprmn
4 Friday
2 Saturday
0 Sunday

Prada 0

Click
5 for Saturday

Wow that just went up 150 in an hour...and there's 9.5 hours to go to reach 2000 guess my behemoth classification of yesterday was an understatement
 

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valuable info huskerfan. its also in 4100 theaters.i expect 110 minimum, and 120 to 130 is possible.
 

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i got more and its coming in....i just rebet it again over 112 at wwts...note: im not really risking any money b/c i have it over 85 and 90 pretty heavy so if it does go under 112 say 110 or something im just eating into the money i clear on the other bets so....

pinny line swinging back in the right direction IMO...todays line of YES +150 was a joke...i think yes is minus money tonight/tomorrow...

another note these are good early indicators but its by no means a lock to break SM...dont read this and think this is a LOCK...this is the OPENING showing a lot of diehards must see it...and its ONLY 1 showtime...AND 112million is a HUGE nut to crack...its just a prelude of what might "come" the rest of the weekend....and its a great jumpstart on total gross...a 10million midnight gross would be GREAT....and could easily land fridays total in the 45million range...
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11/11 shows are sold out at my theater. Absolutely crazy....X3, SR, GOF, & ROTS didn't even come close to this
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Wow!! My local theatre has 5 midnight shows sold out and just added another showing. This is almost like ROTS last year where it had 7 sold out midnight shows. I plan on getting in line around 8 pm. tonight. Can't wait!!
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Back sell out reports

Grand Rapids MI

all 6 theaters have 12:01 shows, 3 have selloput so far.

Celebration North
12:01, 12:05

Celebration South 12:01

Cinemark Rivertown
12:05, 12:15 ,12:15

Those 6 shows are all sold out.
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The midnight show at AMC Mercado finally sold out, and they added another (same scenario happened at AMC Saratoga as well). Two shows on Friday have been sold out: 9am (never seen that before), and 6:45pm.
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No sell-outs at the theater I go to yet, but I found a bunch of other sell-outs for tonight from theaters around the area.
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12:10 at Colorado Mills is crossed out. I didn't track Sith, but nothing else has even had anything besides 11:59. They added 12:20, I guess I'll see it then. I might have to go buy them now. Just the week to lose my cell phone; I need to figure out exactly how many tickets to buy.
 

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note my neck of the woods boston (lowes boston right in the heart of the city has 2 sellouts at 11:59 they just added another at 12:05.....


Update (Already more sell-outs popping up in SoCal!):

These are just the SoCal theaters with multiple midnight showings listed. There are MANY more theaters with single midnight showings that are not yet sold out.
[Sell-Outs BOLD]

AMC Covina 30
12:01am, 12:01am, 12:01am

Krikorian Monrovia Cinema 12
11:59pm, 11:59pm, 11:59pm, 11:59pm

AMC Santa Anita 16
12:01am, 12:01am, 12:01am, 12:01am

AMC Ontario Mills 30 Theaters
12:01am, 12:01am

AMC Puente Hills 20
12:01am, 12:01am, 12:01am

Pacific Paseo Stadium 14
12:01am, 12:01am

Krikorian Chino Spectrum Marketplace 12
11:59pm, 11:59pm, 11:59pm, 11:59pm, 11:59pm

AMC Victoria Gardens 12
12:01am, 12:01am, 12:01am, 12:01am

Krikorian Downey Cinema 10
11:59pm, 11:59pm, 11:59pm

AMC Fullerton 20
12:01am, 12:01am

AMC Burbank 16
12:01am, 12:01am, 12:01am, 12:01am, 12:01am, 12:01am

Krikorian Buena Park Metroplex 18
11:59pm, 11:59pm

Pacific's The Grove Stadium 14
12:01am, 12:15am, 12:15am

AMC Downtown Disney® District 12
12:01am, 12:15am, 12:15am, 12:15am, 12:15am

AMC 30 At The Block
12:01am, 12:01am

AMC Century City 15
12:01am, 12:01am

Pacific Galleria Stadium 16
12:01am

The Bridge: cinema de lux
12:05am, 12:05am

Pacific Beach Cities All Stadium 16
12:01am

Krikorian Redlands Cinema 14
11:59pm, 11:59pm, 11:59pm, 11:59pm, 11:59pm, 11:59pm, 11:59pm

Pacific Northridge Fashion Center All Stadium 10
Midnight

AMC Rolling Hills 20
12:01am, 12:02am, 12:03am

Century Stadium 25
11:59 AM, 12:10, 12:20, 12:30

Cinemark Movies 10 - Palmdale
12:01 AM, 12:02 AM

Edwards Aliso Viejo Stadium 20
11:59 AM, 12:15

Edwards West Covina 18
11:59pm, 11:59pm

Regal La Habra 16
11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59

Edwards Brea Stadium East 12
12:01am I 12:01am I 12:01am

Edwards Renaissance Stadium 14
11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59

Edwards Anaheim Hills 14
11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59

Century 20 Bella Terra in Huntington Beach
11:59 I 12:10am I 12:20am

Edwards Long Beach 26
11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59
11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59

Edwards Metro Pointe 12
11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59

Edwards Ontario Palace 22 & IMAX
11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59 I 11:59
11:59 I 11:59

There are more, but I'm done looking
 

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x3 had an average weekend psa of 9.282. if potc can achieve that in 4100 theaters it would gross 113.1 o/w. all indications are that it is infact exceeding x3 presale numbers early on, and quite possibly for the weekend. pinny gives you +110 for beating spidy whose number was 114.8. waiting patiently for wsex. anything 110 and under, i would reccomend killing the over.
 

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I hit pinny at +114 earlier this afternoon, now up to 135. Took it again...
 

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wsex has the movie posted up...no total yet should be any minute hopefully i want to go get some beers but i cant leave the computer

the latest tracking #'s had this one at 118million and 111million respectively that was as of a few days ago...

the trailers looks awasome ill say that much i never saw the 1st and even i am excited about this movie (i wont see it) but the buzz factor is high....
 

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http://www.leesmovieinfo.net/Crowd-Reports.php

Crowd Reports for Sunday, Jul. 9

Pirates of Caribbean 2 8:00PM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Lee Tistaert
Pirates of Caribbean 2 5:20PM 100% of 400 4 NCG Eastwood Cinema bgniewek
Pirates of Caribbean 2 4:45PM 100% of 400 4 NCG Eastwood Cinema bgniewek
Pirates of Caribbean 2 4:40PM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Lee Tistaert
Pirates of Caribbean 2 1:20PM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Lee Tistaert

Crowd Reports for Saturday, Jul. 8

Pirates of Caribbean 2 11:20PM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Lee Tistaert
Pirates of Caribbean 2 8:00PM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Lee Tistaert
Pirates of Caribbean 2 4:40PM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Lee Tistaert
Pirates of Caribbean 2 1:20PM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Lee Tistaert

Crowd Reports for Friday, Jul. 7

Pirates of Caribbean 2 11:20PM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Lee Tistaert
Pirates of Caribbean 2 10:20PM 100% of 72 5 Muvico Palace 20 Anonymous
Pirates of Caribbean 2 8:45PM 100% of 72 5 Muvico Palace 20 Anonymous
Pirates of Caribbean 2 8:10PM 100% of 72 5 Muvico Palace 20 Anonymous
Pirates of Caribbean 2 8:00PM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Lee Tistaert
Pirates of Caribbean 2 7:35PM 100% of 72 5 Muvico Palace 20 Anonymous
Pirates of Caribbean 2 7:00PM 100% of 72 5 Muvico Palace 20 Anonymous
Pirates of Caribbean 2 4:40PM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Lee Tistaert
Pirates of Caribbean 2 1:20PM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Anonymous
Pirates of Caribbean 2 1:20PM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Lee Tistaert
Pirates of Caribbean 2 10:00AM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Lee Tistaert

Crowd Reports for Thursday, Jul. 6

Pirates of Caribbean 2 12:03AM 100% of 300 1 Marcus Elgin Fox Theatre liesse00
Pirates of Caribbean 2 12:02AM 100% of 300 1 Marcus Elgin Fox Theatre liesse00
Pirates of Caribbean 2 12:00AM 100% of 350 4 NCG Eastwood Cinema bgniewek
Pirates of Caribbean 2 12:00AM 100% of 450 3 NCG Eastwood Cinema bgniewek
Pirates of Caribbean 2 12:00AM 100% of 1000 1 Pacific El Capitan Lee Tistaert
Pirates of Caribbean 2 12:00AM 100% of 400 3 Midland Cinema 10 bgniewek
Pirates of Caribbean 2 12:00AM 100% of 350 1 Coldwater Cinema bgniewek
Pirates of Caribbean 2 12:00AM 100% of 450 4 Celebration! Cinema, Lans... bgniewek
 

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wsex seems hesitant. important to be in early, because one way or the other the line will drift significantly.
 

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if you are interested in the over, sportsbook.com has it at 105.5 -120
 

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thanks. maxed it out when it was at 90. they have 200.00 limits and wouldnt allow any over the maximum wagers. they must have gotten killed at 90.
 

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i popped it for 250 the second it came up....now its 140 and only gonna go higher....so glad i didnt go to the store...
 

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ya i got hollywood when it was 90million myself...they are in afterthought now....i also nailed them on SM returns which was also stealing....
betus had it at 85million max win 50 for quite a while and they bumped it to 115now max win 25....(hey 50bucks is 50 bucks)...also got them for free 100 on SM returns LOLER....
the bulk of my bets at wwts....11 individual wagers thru the last 6or so weeks....
should make for an interesting weekend to say the least...
:toast:
 

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notfabio, who is a very accurate with numbers is saying its looking more like revenge of the stith than x3. i think it will soar over 110.
 

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well men i have some good news...mind you its still very early on in the weekend for a movie with his high a total BUT.... this guy runs or has access to a top5 biggest movie theatre in the country....ive had 1 loser in the last 3 months (i can prove it) and that was b/c i discounted his info on click (the print #) and it lost by 2million....he was right too, said 3prints highest movie to date was Breakup and it did 40million and click only had 3 b/c Superman was coming out the next week and they could only afford to give it 3prints and it only did 40million....he usually posts his theatres fridays takes late fri night and can compare them to any other previous movie and tell you where its gonna land for the weekend....ive been posting his stuff mixed in up above here is his latest post...this guys word is gold...

6PM PST Update (still 6 hours to go)
1586 Pirt2
735!!!!!!!!! For Friday
108 Saturday
28 Sunday

This has exceeded STAR3 'opening day' advance sales and the pre-open is now less than 500 away from beating STAR3

We are now setup for 10 may go for 12 midnight screens


JOE ( you obviously know who im talking about LOLOLOL WINK WINK)
 

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still coming in....

South Orange County (CA) midnight sellout watch
This is a 4 hour update of 3 large theaters here. Last time we had 16 out of 19 sold out.

7 screens have been added in those 4 hours, and we now have 22 sell outs out of 26. The remainder of those 26 will be sold out probably within the next 90 minutes.

This is ahead of STAR3 (16.5 midnight nationwide) where I am...
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my local theatre, 4 midnight, 4 sell-outs, NEVER happened before
 

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